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Turning Forecasts into Actions: Marine Heatwaves and Ecosystem-Wide Impacts in Australian Waters During Summer 2024/25
Journal article   Open access   Peer reviewed

Turning Forecasts into Actions: Marine Heatwaves and Ecosystem-Wide Impacts in Australian Waters During Summer 2024/25

Alistair Hobday, Claire Spillman, Jason Hartog, Grant Smith, Jamie Allnutt, Fred Bailleul, Laura Blamey, Stephanie Brodie, Curtis Champion, Arani Chandrapavan, …
Oceanography, Vol.39(1), pp.1-10
01/03/2026
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Abstract

Widespread marine heatwaves (MHWs) affected Australia over the 2024/25 summer and autumn. They impacted marine species, ecosystems, and coastal communities, with emerging economic consequences. Across northern Australia, severe coral bleaching occurred for the first time along both the western and eastern coasts, and a mass fish kill occurred in Western Australia. In South Australia, prolonged MHW conditions and impacts from an extensive harmful algal bloom of the dinoflagellate Karenia included extensive fish kills, human health effects, losses for ocean-dependent industries, and currently unquantified effects on the broader marine ecosystem. In Tasmania, a range of impacts were linked to warm water, including blooms of salps, Noctiluca, and jellyfish. In New South Wales, a fish mortality event linked to thermal shock generated considerable community concern and media coverage. Trial seasonal forecasts available several months ahead of MHW emergence, combined with national marine climate briefings, helped prepare industry, researchers, and governments for possible impacts. This resulted in increased awareness and development of regional and industry MHW response plans with proactive strategies at both short and long timescales.

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