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Evolution of Data-Driven Flood Forecasting: Trends, Technologies, and Gaps—A Systematic Mapping Study
Journal article   Open access   Peer reviewed

Evolution of Data-Driven Flood Forecasting: Trends, Technologies, and Gaps—A Systematic Mapping Study

Banujan Kuhaneswaran, Golam Sorwar, Ali Reza Alaei and Feifei Tong
Water, Vol.17(15), pp.1-33
31/07/2025
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Abstract

flood forecasting data-drive modelling machine learning deep learning systematic mapping study L STM hybrid models
This paper presents a Systematic Mapping Study (SMS) on data-driven approaches in flood forecasting from 2019 to 2024, a period marked by transformative developments in Deep Learning (DL) technologies. Analysing 363 selected studies, this paper provides an overview of the technological evolution in this field, methodological approaches, evaluation practices and geographical distribution of studies. The study revealed that meteorological and hydrological factors constitute approximately 76% of input variables, with rainfall/precipitation and water level measurements forming the core predictive basis. Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks emerged as the dominant algorithm (21% of implementations), whilst hybrid and ensemble approaches showed the most dramatic growth (from 2% in 2019 to 10% in 2024). The study also revealed a threefold increase in publications during this period, with significant geographical concentration in East and Southeast Asia (56% of studies), particularly China (36%). Several research gaps were identified, including limited exploration of graph-based approaches for modelling spatial relationships, underutilisation of transfer learning for data-scarce regions, and insufficient uncertainty quantification. This SMS provides researchers and practitioners with actionable insights into current trends, methodological practices, and future directions in data-driven flood forecasting, thereby advancing this critical field for disaster management.

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