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Published (Version of record)CC BY-NC-ND V4.0, Open Access
Published (Version of record)CC BY-NC-ND V4.0, Open
Journal article
Detecting vulnerability of humid tropical forests to multiple stressors
One Earth, Vol.4(7), pp.988-1003
23/07/2021
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Abstract
Humid tropical forests play a dominant role in the functioning of Earth but are under increasing threat from changes in land use and climate. How forest vulnerability varies across space and time and what level of stress forests can tolerate before facing a tipping point are poorly understood. Here, we develop a tropical forest vulnerability index (TFVI) to detect and evaluate the vulnerability of global tropical forests to threats across space and time. We show that climate change together with land-use change have slowed the recovery rate of forest carbon cycling. Temporal autocorrelation, as an indicator of this slow recovery, increases substantially for above-ground biomass, gross primary production, and evapotranspiration when climate stress reaches a critical level. Forests in the Americas exhibit extensive vulnerability to these stressors, while in Africa, forests show relative resilience to climate, and in Asia reveal more vulnerability to land use and fragmentation. TFVI can systematically track the response of tropical forests to multiple stressors and provide early-warning signals for regions undergoing critical transitions.
Details
- Title
- Detecting vulnerability of humid tropical forests to multiple stressors
- Creators
- Sassan Saatchi - Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, 4800 Oak Grove Drive, Pasadena, CA, USAMarcos Longo - Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, 4800 Oak Grove Drive, Pasadena, CA, USALiang Xu - Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, 4800 Oak Grove Drive, Pasadena, CA, USAYan Yang - Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, 4800 Oak Grove Drive, Pasadena, CA, USAHitofumi Abe - Food and Agricultural Organization of the United Nations, Papua New GuineaMichel André - Laboratory of Applied Bioacoustics, Technical University of Catalonia, Barcelona, SpainJuliann E Aukema - United States Agency for International Development, Washington, DC, USANuno Carvalhais - Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena, GermanyHinsby Cadillo-Quiroz - School of Life Sciences, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, USAGillian Ann Cerbu - World Bank Group, Washington, DC, USAJanet M Chernela - Department of Anthropology, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, USAKristofer Covey - Environmental Studies and Sciences Program, Skidmore College, Saratoga Springs, NY, USALina María Sánchez-Clavijo - Instituto de Investigación de Recursos Biológicos Alexander von Humboldt, Bogotá, ColombiaIsai V Cubillos - The Nature Conservancy, Bogota, ColombiaStuart J Davies - Forest Global Earth Observatory, Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute, Washington, DC, USAVeronique De Sy - Laboratory of Geo-Information Science and Remote Sensing, Wageningen University Droevendaalsesteeg 3, 6708 PB Wageningen, the NetherlandsFrancois De Vleeschouwer - Instituto Franco-Argentino para el Estudio del Clima y sus Impactos (UMI 3351 IFAECI/CNRS-CONICET-UBA-IRD), Ciudad Autonoma de Buenos Aires, ArgentinaAlvaro Duque - Departamento de Ciencias Forestales, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Medellín, ColombiaAlice Marie Sybille Durieux - Descartes Labs, Santa Fe, NM, USALuis E Fernandez - Department of Biology, Wake Forest University, Winston-Salem, NC, USAKátia De Avila Fernandes - Department of Geoscience, University of Arkansas, Fayetteville, AR, USAVictoria Gammino - Dornsife School of Public Health, Drexel University, Philadelphia, PA, USADennis P Garrity - World Resources Institute, Washington, DC, USADavid A Gibbs - World Resources Institute, Washington, DC, USALucy Gibbon - United States Agency for International Development, Washington, DC, USAGae Yansom Gowae - Department of Environmental Science and Geography, University of Papua New Guinea, Port Moresby, Papua New GuineaMatthew Hansen - Department of Geographical Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, USANancy Lee Harris - World Resources Institute, Washington, DC, USASean P Healey - U.S. Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station, Ogden, UT, USARobert G Hilton - Department of Geography, Durham University, Durham, UKChristine May Johnson - United States Agency for International Development, Washington, DC, USARichard Sufo Kankeu - Department of Geography, ESO Lab., Université du Maine, Le Mans, FranceNadine Therese Laporte-Goetz - School of Forestry, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ, USAHyongki Lee - Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Houston, Houston, TX, USAThomas Lovejoy - George Mason University, Fairfax, VA, USAMargaret Lowman - TREE Foundation, Sarasota, FL, USARaymond Lumbuenamo - World Bank Group, Washington, DC, USAYadvinder Malhi - Environmental Change Institute, School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 3QT, UKJean-Michel M Albert Martinez - Géosciences Environnement Toulouse (GET), IRD/CNRS, Université Toulouse (UPS), Toulouse, FranceCarlos Nobre - Institute for Advanced Studies, Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, SP CEP 05508-060, BrazilAdam Pellegrini - Department of Plant Sciences, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UKJeremy Radachowsky - Wildlife Conservation Society, Washington, DC, USAFrancisco Román - Center for Amazonian Scientific Innovation, Wake Forest University, Madre de Dios, PeruDiane Russell - SocioEcological Strategies, Inc., Washington, DC, USADouglas Sheil - Norwegian University of Life Sciences, Southern Cross University, As, NorwayThomas B Smith - Institute of the Environment and Sustainability and Department of Ecology and Evolution University of California, Los Angeles, CA, USARobert G.M Spencer - Department of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, USAFred Stolle - World Resources Institute, Washington, DC, USAHesti Lestari Tata - Forest Research and Development Centre, Bogor, IndonesiaDennis del Castillo Torres - Instituto de Investigaciones de la Amazonia Peruana, Iquitos, PeruRaphael Muamba Tshimanga - Congo Basin Water Resources Research Center, University of Kinshasa, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of CongoRodrigo Vargas - Department of Plant and Soil Sciences, University of Delaware, Newark, DE, USAMichelle Venter - Ecosystem Science Management Program, University of Northern British Columbia, Prince George, BC, CanadaJoshua West - Department of Earth Sciences, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90089, USAAtiek Widayati - Tropenbos Indonesia, Bogor, IndonesiaSylvia N Wilson - United States Geological Survey, Reston, VA, USASteven Brumby - National Geographic Society, Washington, DC, USAAurora C Elmore - National Geographic Society, Washington, DC, USA
- Publication Details
- One Earth, Vol.4(7), pp.988-1003
- Publisher
- Cell Press
- Identifiers
- 991012961199002368
- Copyright
- © 2021 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
- Academic Unit
- Faculty of Science and Engineering; Forest Research Centre; Science
- Language
- English
- Resource Type
- Journal article