Journal article
Changing windows of opportunity: past and future climate-driven shifts in temporal persistence of kingfish (Seriola lalandi) oceanographic habitat within south-eastern Australian bioregions
Marine and freshwater research, Vol.70(1), pp.33-42
2019
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Source: InCites
Abstract
Climate-driven shifts in species distributions are occurring rapidly within marine systems and are predicted to continue under climate change. To effectively adapt, marine resource users require information relevant to their activities at decision-making timescales. We model oceanographic habitat suitability for kingfish (Seriola lalandi) from south-eastern Australia using multiple environmental variables at monthly time steps over the period 1996–2040. Habitat predictions were used to quantify the temporal persistence (months per year) of suitable oceanographic habitat within six coastal bioregions. A decline in temporal habitat persistence is predicted for the northernmost (equatorward) bioregion, whereas increases are predicted for the three southernmost (poleward) bioregions. We suggest that temporal habitat persistence is an important metric for climate change adaptation because it provides fishery-relevant information. Our methods demonstrate how novel metrics relevant to climate adaptation can be derived from predictions of species’ environmental habitats, and are appropriate for the management of fisheries resources and protection of high conservation value species under future climate change.
Details
- Title
- Changing windows of opportunity: past and future climate-driven shifts in temporal persistence of kingfish (Seriola lalandi) oceanographic habitat within south-eastern Australian bioregions
- Creators
- Curtis Champion - Inst Marine & Antarctic Studies, Hobart, Tas 7001, AustraliaAlistair J. Hobday - CSIRO Oceans & Atmosphere (Australia, Hobart)Xuebin Zhang - CSIRO Oceans & Atmosphere (Australia, Hobart)Gretta T. Pecl - Institute for Marine and Antarctic StudiesSean R. Tracey - Inst Marine & Antarctic Studies, Hobart, Tas 7001, Australia
- Publication Details
- Marine and freshwater research, Vol.70(1), pp.33-42
- Publisher
- Csiro Publishing
- Number of pages
- 10
- Grant note
- Australian Society for Fish Biology's Michael Hall Student Innovation Award CSIRO-University of Tasmania joint Quantitative Marine Science Program Holsworth Wildlife Research Endowment-Equity Trustees Charitable Foundation Australian Research Council Future Fellowship; Australian Research Council
- Identifiers
- 991013054797902368
- Academic Unit
- Faculty of Science and Engineering
- Language
- English
- Resource Type
- Journal article