Journal article
An international multilocation trial reveals genotype-by-environment interactions in Arabica coffee across climate gradients
Scientific reports, Vol.First online
02/10/2026
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Abstract
Climate change makes the future of Arabica coffee ( Coffea arabica L.) uncertain, a crop supporting Coffee is produced on approximately 12.5 million farms worldwide, predominantly family-run smallholdings. Identifying varieties that combine high productivity with disease resistance across diverse environments is critical for climate adaptation, yet global empirical evidence remains limited. We leveraged a dataset from an international multi-environment trial evaluating 32 varieties for yield and coffee leaf rust severity across a total of 30 sites in 17 countries. Genotype-by-environment interactions were analyzed using factor analytic mixed-effects models, and latent environmental factors were linked to climatic gradients through partial least squares regression. Yield stability was associated with thermal gradients, distinguishing varietal adaptation between cooler environments with high diurnal temperature variation and warmer, thermally stable conditions. In contrast, rust severity and its interactions were associated with joint gradients of temperature, precipitation, humidity, and thermal variability. Among the evaluated genotypes, the F1 hybrids H1 Centroamericano and EC16, followed by the introgressed line Parainema, showed the strongest combined performance for yield and rust resistance, although with distinct climatic preferences and trade-offs in yield stability. Overall, introgressed varieties consistently outperformed pure Arabica varieties, which exhibited lower yields and greater rust susceptibility. These findings provide a robust empirical basis for climate-informed variety deployment and breeding strategies in Arabica coffee.
Details
- Title
- An international multilocation trial reveals genotype-by-environment interactions in Arabica coffee across climate gradients
- Creators
- Romain Gautron - International Center for Tropical AgricultureJorge C. Berny Mier y Teran - WCRPLuis Fernando Delgado Muñoz - International Center for Tropical AgricultureSantos Barrera Lemus - World Coffee Research (USA, Portland)Eric Rahn - International Center for Tropical AgricultureFabio A. Castro Llanos - International Center for Tropical AgricultureChristian Bunn - International Center for Tropical AgricultureSalvador A. Gezan - VSN International (United Kingdom)Solène Pruvot-Woehl - Africa 2000 NetworkCatherine Maina - WCRPJane Jerono Cheserek - Kenya Agricultural and Livestock Research OrganizationJonny Alonso Castillo - Fundación NicaFrance (Nicaragua)Rosalío López Morgado - Instituto Nacional de Investigaciones Forestales Agrícolas y PecuariasEdgardo Alpízar - ECOM (Nicaragua)Julio Alvarado - AGROLAV (El Salvador)Josué Arevalo - WCRPBrahim Banda - OLAM (Zambia)Dorian Baudry - Institut polytechnique de GrenobleMélanie Bordeaux - Fundación NicaFrance (Nicaragua)Elly Castro - WCRPJeena Devasia - Central Coffee Research Institute (India)Elijah K. Gichuru - Kenya Agricultural and Livestock Research OrganizationJames Mwita Gimase - Kenya Agricultural and Livestock Research OrganizationChemutai Job Alunga - National Coffee Resources Research Institute (Uganda)Nathan Aliel Kachiguma - Department of Agricultural Research & Technical ServicesDivya Kallingapuram Das - Central Coffee Research Institute (India)Jean-Baptiste Kayigamba - WCRPTobias Kretzschmar - Southern Cross UniversitySuresh Kumar - Central Coffee Research Institute (India)Simon Martin Mvuyekure - WCRPBenit Mate - National Institute for Agronomic Study of the Belgian CongoHans Alexander Méndez Mendoza - Café Finca Mountain Villa Rica (Peru)Albertino Meza - Cooperativa CENFROCAFE (Peru)Yonis Morales - Universidad Metropolitana de HondurasBeatriz Moreno López - Asociación Nacional del CaféPaul Mulemangabo - National Institute for Agronomic Study of the Belgian CongoNever Mwatsiya - Indonesian Coffee and Cocoa Research InstituteNayani Suryprakash Rao - Central Coffee Research Institute (India)Miftahur Rizqi Akbar - Indonesian Coffee and Cocoa Research InstituteAriana Karina Román Ruíz - El Colegio de la Frontera SurTimothy Schilling - WCRPGodfrey Sseremba - National Coffee Resources Research Institute (Uganda)Samson Tarusenga - Indonesian Coffee and Cocoa Research InstitutePiet van Asten - OLAM (Zambia)Ari Wibowo - Indonesian Coffee and Cocoa Research InstituteTania Humphrey - WCRP
- Publication Details
- Scientific reports, Vol.First online
- Publisher
- Springer Nature
- Grant note
- This research was funded by member companies of World Coffee Research.
- Identifiers
- 991013405507502368
- Copyright
- © The Author(s) 2026
- Academic Unit
- Faculty of Science and Engineering; Science
- Language
- English
- Resource Type
- Journal article